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Investors factor in earnings, leading to a rebound in the stock market.

February 5, 2024

Following a brief dip in the last two days of January, the Nigerian stock market has experienced a resurgence, driven by renewed bullish sentiments and the unveiling of full-year 2023 earnings. The market, which commenced the new month on a positive note, successfully shrugged off the two-day bear run as investors swiftly seized the opportunity to strategically position themselves in stocks with lower prices.

According to analysts at Lagos-based United Capital, the outlook for the capital market in Nigeria appears optimistic. Despite recent challenges, they foresee a positive year ahead. They anticipate that the premium status of Nigerian equities will remain unchanged throughout 2024, supported by the prevailing conditions in major central banks in advanced economies. Additionally, they project that foreign investors will find the Nigerian markets attractive as central banks globally reduce rates, leading to a shift in the flow of global capital.

The impressive performance of specific stocks has been notable in the early part of the year. Wema Bank leads the banking sector with an impressive 93.8 percent increase in share prices. In the industrial sector, Dangote Cement has shown resilience, recording a remarkable 138.5 percent rise in share prices. Meanwhile, BUA Foods stands out among other consumer goods stocks, boasting a substantial 47.4 percent increase in share prices this year.

The bounce-back in the Nigerian stock market reflects not only a recovery from recent losses but also investor confidence in the prospects for the market. As the dynamics of global capital flow evolve, Nigeria's market attractiveness remains robust, making it a focal point for both domestic and foreign investors seeking favorable opportunities in the financial landscape.

 


Sentiments remained positive, as investors continue to pick fundamentally sound names at lower prices. We expect a mixed start to the week, as the market anticipates more earnings reports,” analysts at Lagos-based Vetiva said on Friday.

For the oil and gas sector, Japaul Gold is beating others with a share price increase of 80.6 percent this year. In the agricultural sector, Presco is the leader in returns with 34.2 percent, while Transcorp is beating other conglomerates with its 77.8 percent price rally this year.

The benchmark indicator – the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All Share Index (ASI) – increased to 104,421.23 points on Friday from 102,401.88 the previous day while the value of listed stocks rose to N57.16 trillion from N56.04 trillion.

The market rose by 1.97 percent as activities of bargain hunters outweighed that of profit takers. Twenty-seven equities appreciated as against 35 equities in the preceding week. Sixty-four equities depreciated in price, down from 65 in the preceding week, while 64 equities remained unchanged as against 55 in the preceding week.

The stock market’s record year-to-date return rose to 39.65 percent as of Friday.

Nigerian equities kicked off 2024 on a strong note, as the NGX ASI gained 35.3 percent in January. Likewise, the positive performance filtered into our picks for 2024, with our conviction stocks returning 12.6 percent in the same period,” Vetiva research analysts said in their January performance review.





Source:: Business Day
Images: TipRanks, Forbes